So far, the 2025 NRL finals series has proven to be one for the ages.
Whether it be the minor premiers being knocked out in straight sets, golden point thrillers or the travelling Cronulla Sharks fans sending the Canberra Raiders home with their own rendition of the Viking clap.
Each week has delivered something unforgettable.
However, as the dust settles, only four teams remain and three games are left until one of them raises the Provan-Summons Trophy and etches themselves into NRL history.
Each club has its own story and each club has a chance, but how good a chance is the real question.
So, let's look at the probability of them winning the 2025 NRL Grand Final.
4. Cronulla Sharks
Another case of hitting form at the right time, the Cronulla Sharks are the form team in the competition, winning nine of their last ten matches.
Yet, they remain massively doubted and the consensus is that they can't go all the way.
Why?
Since Craig Fitzgibbon took over in 2022, the Sharks have been in the finals every year, yet before this season, they had only won one game out of five finals matches.
Not to mention, out of the four remaining teams, each one has reached an NRL Grand Final in the last two seasons, except for the Sharks.
The side has plenty of finals experience, but little success in winning do-or-die matches.
However, this year could be different.
The Sharks have shocked everyone, comfortably defeating both the Roosters and Raiders back-to-back, securing their spot in Friday's preliminary final clash against the Melbourne Storm.
They are a good side, but when matched up against every other team left, they are certainly still the weakest and therefore, least likely to win the premiership.
